英超联赛预测:利物浦,曼城和阿森纳都将陷入困境

时间:2020-12-19 03:33:59

Jones Knows is here to arm you with some betting angles and insights ahead of the weekend with slip-ups predicted for Liverpool and Manchester City

琼斯知道将在周末前为您提供一些投注角度和见解,并预测利物浦和曼城的失误

To hear more, download the Pitch to Post Review podcast on your providerCrystal Palace vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pmA trip to Selhurst Park is never one to relish, especially when a team is expected to get maximum points - as Liverpool are with 1/2 on offer for an away win with Sky Bet

要了解更多信息,请在提供商的官方网站上下载“ Pitch to Post Review”播客。水晶宫vs利物浦,星期六12.30pm前往Selhurst Park的旅程绝对不会令人津津乐道,特别是当一支球队有望获得最高分时-利物浦的得分为1/2 通过Sky Bet赢得客场胜利

These are matches for the top teams where getting out of there with a result is all that matters

这些是顶级球队的比赛,而其中重要的是要离开那里

If you offered Jurgen Klopp the scrappiest of 1-0 wins now, he"d shake your hand

如果您现在为尤尔根·克洛普(Jurgen Klopp)提供1-0胜过的最残酷的胜利,他会与您握手

Klopp: "Ask others" about no five subs | Here"s what they said...Jamie Carragher"s Greatest GamesWinning on the road doesn"t come naturally to Liverpool anymore though

克洛普(Klopp):“问别人”关于没有五个替补| 他们是这么说的...贾米·卡拉格(Jamie Carragher)的最伟大的比赛尽管利物浦已经不再自然赢得胜利

They"ve landed the odds in just three of their last 12 Premier League away days, dropping 20 points in that period

他们在过去的12天内英超联赛中,只有3天的赔率下降了,在此期间下降了20分

Recent draws with Fulham and Brighton fall into that category, games where the usual intense Liverpool performance levels were at a worrying low to the extent they lost the "xG battle" in both matches to an aggregate of 2.13 vs 4.74九洲在线

富勒姆和布莱顿最近的平局属于这一类,通常利物浦表现强劲的比赛处于令人担忧的低点,以至于他们在两场比赛中均输掉了“ xG战役”,总计2.13比4.74 九洲在线

I can"t touch them at odds-on here - there are better ways to boost your Christmas betting bank

在这里,我无法碰碰他们-有更好的方法来增加您的圣诞节投注银行

And, I liked what I saw from Crystal Palace at West Ham on Wednesday night

而且,我喜欢我在星期三晚上从西汉姆水晶宫看到的东西

It took a moment of extreme quality from Sebastien Haller to break them down, otherwise Palace had few moments of worry with the Hammers only registering an expected goal figure of 0.49 - this was despite having a man advantage for 20 minutes

塞巴斯蒂安·哈勒(Sebastien Haller)花了一会儿极高的素质才把他们分解了,否则皇宫几乎不用担心,因为锤子只记录了0.49的预期目标值-尽管有20分钟的人手优势

No teams have drawn more matches 1-1 than Liverpool and Palace this season - that looks the smart play

本赛季没有球队比利物浦和皇宫赢得1-1的比赛更多-这看起来很聪明

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1 (7/1 with Sky Bet) Southampton vs Manchester City, Saturday 3pm (Play Super 6 to win 15 a monthYou"d be absolutely quackers to back them at 19/10 with Sky Bet this weekend

琼斯知道预测:1-1(Sky Bet 7/1)南安普敦vs曼城,星期六下午3点(打Super 6每月赢15)本周末,您将以19/10的Sky Bet绝对支持他们

And, on current performance metrics, the 33/1 for Arsenal to be relegated is probably a slice of value

而且,按照目前的表现指标,将阿森纳降级的33/1可能是价值的一部分

九洲在线Everton - with the advantage of having 2000 fans in attendance, yes it does make a difference - look a very solid proposition to get the job done here at 11/8

九洲在线埃弗顿(Everton)-拥有2000名球迷的参加,是的,它的确有所作为-在11/8做到这一点的工作看来很可靠

Since Everton switched to a back four at Burnley after 29 minutes, they haven"t conceded a goal - an impressive feat

自从埃弗顿在29分钟后在伯恩利转投四号位以来,他们还没有承认自己的进球-令人印象深刻的壮举

Both Chelsea and Leicester - two of the most potent attacks in the league - continuously banged their heads against the Everton defensive wall and failed to create an expected goals figure above one (Chelsea 0.72, Leicester 0.73)

切尔西和莱切斯特-联盟中最有力的两次进攻-不断将自己的头撞到埃弗顿的防守城墙上,未能达到预期的进球数(切尔西0.72,莱斯特0.73)

There has to be a strong probability of the clean sheet run continuing against an Arsenal attack that have scored just eight goals since their opening day 3-0 win over Fulham

自开幕日3-0击败富勒姆以来,阿森纳的进攻一直只有8个进球,这很可能会继续保持无人战绩

Only Sheffield United and Burnley have netted fewer

只有谢菲尔德联和伯恩利的净收入减少了

It"s a metric backed up by the attacking performance data, too

这也是由攻击性能数据支持的指标

Arsenal"s chances created numbers are the third lowest in the Premier League (87) and their expected goals figure of 12.87 only puts them above West Brom, Burnley, Newcastle and Wolves

阿森纳创造的机会数是英超联赛中倒数第三(87),他们的预期进球数为12.87,仅超过西布朗,伯恩利,纽卡斯尔和狼队

It"s relegation form

保级形式

With all this considered, plus the fact Arsenal are without the suspended Gabriel, the 5/2 for an Everton clean sheet or the 100/30 for an Everton win to nil certainly makes appeal

考虑到所有这些因素,再加上阿森纳没有暂停加布里埃尔的事实,埃弗顿无尘纸的5/2或埃弗顿无胜的100/30肯定吸引人

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-0 (8/1 with Sky Bet) Newcastle vs Fulham, Saturday 8pm, live on Premier League Newcastle"s haul of 17 points from 12 games is their best tally at this stage of Premier League season since the 2014/15 season, yet, their performances remain stodgy and lacking in attacking cohesion

琼斯知道预测:2-0(Sky Bet的8/1)纽卡斯尔vs富勒姆,星期六晚上8点,在英超联赛中直播纽卡斯尔从12场比赛中得到17分是自2014/15赛季以来英超联赛这个阶段的最好成绩 赛季,他们的表现仍然乏善可陈,缺乏进攻凝聚力

Only Burnley have had fewer shots from inside the box this season than Newcastle (67) - a statistic which is a great barometer of how many good goalscoring opportunities teams are creating

本赛季只有伯恩利的投篮命中率低于纽卡斯尔(67)-这一统计数据很好地说明了球队正在创造多少个进球机会

The Toon are clinical but it"s unsustainable

香椿是临床的,但不可持续

After shipping five at Leeds, you can rest assured Steve Bruce will be setting out his stall for a clean sheet in this one

在利兹运送了五辆之后,您可以放心,史蒂夫·布鲁斯(Steve Bruce)将在这辆载货汽车上摆放一张干净的床单

I"m expecting Fulham to have plenty of territorial advantage at St James" Park

我希望富勒姆在圣詹姆斯公园(St James"Park)拥有很多领土优势

九洲在线With such a lack of pace in the heart of their defence, Newcastle will play with their usual deep style against a very quick Fulham attack

九洲在线由于防守缺乏步伐,纽卡斯尔将以他们惯有的深厚风格应对快速的富勒姆进攻

That should yield plenty of opportunities for Fulham danger and Sky Bet have priced up them to have 13 or more shots at 11/8

这应该为富勒姆的危险提供大量机会,而Sky Bet已将其定价为在11/8时有13球或更多

Download the Scores App: Apple | AndroidThe UK"s No 1 scores app: Find out moreSteve Bruce"s side conceding a whopping 25 shots in the defeat at Leeds, taking their shots faced tally for the season to 196 - only West Brom have faced more

下载Scores应用程序:Apple | 英国排名第一的App:了解更多

Against teams that didn"t finish in the top seven last season, Fulham have registered 13 or more shots seven times out of nine this season, which makes the 11/8 one of the most interesting bets of the weekend

面对上赛季未进入前七名的球队,富勒姆本赛季九次中有7次射门13次或更多,这使11/8成为周末最有趣的下注之一

In terms of an outright selection, Fulham can just edge what is likely to be a tight encounter

在全面选择方面,富勒姆只能勉强面对可能会遇到的紧张局面

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (9/1 with Sky Bet) Brighton vs Sheffield United, Sunday 12pm, live on Premier League My "stop backing Sheffield United" patch has fallen off my arm again

琼斯知道预测:1-2(Sky Bet的9/1)布赖顿vs谢菲尔德联,周日中午12点,在英超联赛上直播我的“停止支持谢菲尔德联”的补丁再次掉到了我的手臂上

Just one more hit - this will be the last time, promise

再打一次-保证,这将是最后一次

The form of David McGoldrick has rekindled my faith

David McGoldrick的身份重新点燃了我的信念

He is instrumental in the way the Blades construct attacks

他在刀片制造进攻中发挥了重要作用

When he plays well, Sheffield United play well

当他表现出色时,谢菲尔德联队表现出色

Since coming on as a half time substitute in the defeat at Southampton he"s created three chances in 135 minutes and scored twice

自从在南安普敦(Andrew)的失败中以半场替补身份出场以来,他在135分钟内创造了3次机会,并且得分两次

Confidence is obviously a huge issue at the club but McGoldrick looks back to somewhere near his best

对俱乐部来说,信心显然是一个巨大的问题,但麦戈德里克回想起自己最好的状态

If he can inspire those around him, then the Blades are more than capable of winning this one and make plenty of appeal at 9/2 with Sky Bet

如果他能激发周围的人,那么刀片队将有能力赢得这一比赛,并凭借Sky Bet在9/2上赢得足够的吸引力

Brighton have won just one of their last 15 Premier League home games (D7 L7) and there will be huge expectation on them to pick up maximum points in front of their fans

布赖顿仅赢了他们最近的15场英超主场比赛(D7 L7)之一,他们对在球迷面前获得最高分的期望很高。

They"ve failed to beat West Brom and Burnley at the Amex this season and the Blades, despite their precarious league position, are to my eye at least, on a level with those two fellow strugglers

他们本赛季在美国运通赛上未能击败西布朗和伯恩利,尽管他们在联赛中的地位不稳定,但在我看来,至少与这两个奋斗者处于同一水平

They can nick this

他们可以昵称

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-1 (11/1 with Sky Bet) Tottenham vs Leicester, Sunday 2.30pm, live on Premier League Brendan Rodgers really needs to do something different against Jose Mourinho, doesn"t he? Mourinho is unbeaten in seven managerial meetings against Rodgers in all competitions (W5 D2) - it"s no coincidence either

琼斯知道预言:0-1(天空赌注为11/1)热刺vs莱斯特,周日2.30pm,在英超联赛上直播布伦丹·罗杰斯真的需要对穆里尼奥做点什么,不是吗? 穆里尼奥在所有比赛(W5 D2)中对阵罗杰斯的七次管理会议中保持不败-这也不是巧合

Leicester enjoyed 71 per cent possession in the meeting between these two in July but lost 3-0 as the Foxes showed yet again they are at their most effective in games when enjoying less possession

莱斯特在7月份的两次会议中拥有71%的控球率,但由于狐狸队再次展示了他们在较少控球时的表现,他们在比赛中表现最为出色,因此他们以3-0失利

Rodgers: Kane dropping deeper has improved SpursDele Alli 360: The view from all sidesMourinho is more comfortable at sitting off teams than Rodgers, who naturally is a more attack-minded coach and perhaps allows his ego to influence his tactical decision making

罗杰斯:凯恩的更深入改善了马刺队德里·阿里360:全方位的看法穆里尼奥比罗杰斯更容易坐下球队,罗杰斯自然是一个更具攻击性的教练,也许能让他的自我影响他的战术决策

Spurs are a fiercer beast with better organisation than the one that swatted the Foxes aside in the summer so I can"t foresee too many problems for them if they defend and counter-attack with their usual slickness

马刺是一种凶猛的野兽,其组织性比夏天驱除狐狸的野兽要好,所以如果他们捍卫和反击平常的浮躁,我无法预见他们会有太多问题

Harry Kane has scored more goals against Leicester in the Premier League (14) than any other club in his career with 10 in his last five starts

哈里·凯恩(Harry Kane)在英超联赛(14)中对莱切斯特的进球数超过他职业生涯中任何其他俱乐部的进球,最近五场比赛中有10球

With Leicester vulnerable aerially at the back, the 10/1 for Kane to score a header is a fantastic value bet

由于莱斯特在后排空中易受攻击,凯恩(Kane)头球得分为10/1是一个了不起的价值选择

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-0 (7/1 with Sky Bet) Manchester United vs Leeds United, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Premier League Well this one will be fun, fun, fun

琼斯知道预测:2-0(Sky Bet 7/1)曼联vs利兹联,周日4.30pm,在英超联赛上直播嗯,这将很有趣,很有趣,很有趣

With Leeds basing their whole game around one v ones, my whole philosophy regarding predicting a match outcome in their games is based around who simply has the better players

利兹基于一场比赛对整个比赛进行预测,因此我关于预测比赛结果的整个哲学是基于谁拥有更好的球员

Leeds have beaten Fulham, Sheffield United, Aston Villa and Newcastle this season - all teams you"d expect to be in the bottom half of the table come the end of the season

利兹本赛季击败了富勒姆,谢菲尔德联,阿斯顿维拉和纽卡斯尔-所有您期望排在桌底的球队都将在本赛季结束

But they have lost to Leicester, Liverpool, West Ham and Chelsea, teams very much on course for a top-10 finish

但是他们已经输给了莱斯特,利物浦,西汉姆和切尔西,他们的战绩非常不错,进入了前10名

Manchester United have the superior players in this one, so a high-scoring home win is the play

曼联在这支球队中拥有出色的球员,因此一场高得分的主场胜利是关键

But, a betting angle to consider is surrounding the total match shots market offered up by Sky Bet

但是,围绕Sky Bet提供的总比赛投篮市场需要考虑的一个投注角度

Leeds have been involved in four of the top five games in terms of match shots this season (39,38,35,35)

在本赛季的比赛中,利兹队参与了前五场比赛中的四场(39,38,35,35)

In fact, Leeds have created the most chances in the Premier League this season (151), which is a staggering achievement

实际上,利兹本赛季创造了英超联赛中最多的机会(151),这是一个了不起的成就

Manchester United are at their best when given space to work in and aren"t afraid of being involved in shot-crazy games themselves (35 vs Newcastle, 34 vs West Ham) - if there"s an early goal in this one then the game to have 29 or more shots at Evens with Sky Bet could prove to be one of the most lucrative Even money shots of all-time

曼彻斯特联队在有足够的工作空间时处于最佳状态,并且不害怕自己参与疯狂的投篮比赛(35对纽卡斯尔,34对西汉姆)-如果这个目标很早,那么比赛就可以 使用Sky Bet在Evens上进行29次或更多次射击可能是有史以来最赚钱的Even money射击之一

The most shots seen in any one Premier League over the past 10 years was when 52 was recorded as QPR beat Leicester 3-2 in 2014

在过去10年中,任何一场英超联赛中射门次数最多的一次是2014年QPR以3-2击败莱斯特队时记录在案的52

That record could be under threat here - and Sky Bet are offering 250/1 for the game to produce 53 or more shots

该记录可能在这里受到威胁-而Sky Bet则为游戏提供250/1的命中率,可产生53张或更多击球

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 4-2 (25/1 with Sky Bet) West Brom vs Aston Villa, Sunday 7.15pmWhen you need a bounce factor, no-one boings like Big Sam

琼斯知道预测:4-2(Sky Bet 25/1)西布罗姆vs阿斯顿维拉,周日7.15pm当您需要弹跳系数时,没人喜欢大山姆

He might just be the perfect man for the Baggies

他可能只是Baggies的完美男人

Backing him to make an instant impact could be a shrewd move too

支持他立即产生影响也可能是一个精明的举动

On the three occasions when Allardyce"s first game in charge of a club has been at home, he"s won every match, without conceding too

在阿勒代斯首度负责俱乐部的比赛中有3次在家中时,他赢得了每场比赛,但也没有承认

Will Big Sam"s "survival blueprint" work again?And to stretch that out a little further, in his first home game as a new boss in the Premier League at Bolton, Newcastle, Blackburn, Sunderland, West Ham, Crystal Palace and Everton he"s conceded just twice in seven games

他承认,大萨姆(Big Sam)的``生存蓝图""会再次发挥作用吗?并进一步扩大这一点,在他作为英超联赛新老板的第一场主场比赛中,他在博尔顿,纽卡斯尔,布莱克本,桑德兰,西汉姆,水晶宫和埃弗顿 在七场比赛中只有两次

Despite just having three days to get the Baggies players organised, I"m confident he"ll make them hard to beat

尽管只有三天的时间来组织Baggies球员,但我相信他会让他们难以击败

And, Villa arrive here on a bit of a downer

而且,比利亚(Villa)有点沮丧

Since Ross Barkley limped off in the early stages of the defeat at Brighton, Villa have lost their edge and ability to create high probability chances

自从罗斯·巴克利(Ross Barkley)在布赖顿(Brighton)失利的初期就退缩之后,比利亚(Villa)失去了优势,无法创造高概率的机会

Including the Brighton defeat, Villa have scored just three goals in the four matches without Barkley, taking just four points from a possible 12

包括布莱顿的失利在内,维拉在没有巴克利的情况下四场比赛中只进了3个进球,仅得到了12分的4分

With him they average 2.5 goals per game without it"s just 0.7

和他在一起,他们平均每场比赛有2.5个进球,而只有0.7个进球

I think Jack Grealish is missing his buddy too

我认为杰克·格雷里什(Jack Grealish)也想念他的好友

Both are good mates off the pitch and that relationship is mirrored on it

他们俩都是场上的好伴侣,这种关系反映在上面

Although still seeing plenty of the ball and looking a threat, Grealish has failed to have a shot on target in three of the four games without Barkley and has failed to register an assist without his mate on the pitch

尽管仍然看到足够多的球并且看起来很危险,但格雷雷什(Geralish)在没有巴克利(Barkley)的四场比赛中有三场未能射门

I"m sure Big Sam will have a plan for him

我确定大山姆会为他制定一个计划

West Brom to win without conceding is a very juicy 6/1

西布朗在不失步的情况下获胜是非常多汁的6/1

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-0 (11/1 with Sky Bet) Burnley vs Wolves, Monday 5.30pm, live on A Wolves shirt with Jones Knows imprinted on the back is certainly on my Christmas list

琼斯知道预测:1-0(Sky Bet投注11/1)伯恩利vs狼队,星期一5.30pm,身穿琼斯知道的狼队球衣,肯定印在我的圣诞节名单上

They made me look like the second coming of Jesus Christ himself in midweek when they delivered a 2-1 win - as predicted in this very column

他们让我看起来像耶稣基督本人在周中的第二次降临,当时他们以2-1获胜-正如本专栏所预言的那样

And, the 13/2 for a Ruben Neves shot along with Wolves to avoid defeat landed in my Jones Knows betting-focused column

而且,鲁本·内维斯(Ruben Neves)和狼一起射门的13/2,以避免失败,这在我的《琼斯知道》投注专栏文章中进行了介绍

You get the feeling this one will be a dour encounter with little of the way of exciting action at least for 45 minutes

您会感觉到这将是一次艰难的遭遇,至少在45分钟内几乎没有令人兴奋的动作

Since promotion back to Premier League in 2018, Wolves have failed to score a first half goal in 63 of 89 games and a switch back to a back three only enhances the chances of a low scoring first half - as seen against Chelsea where it was 0-0 at the break

自从2018年晋升至英超联赛以来,狼队在89场比赛中有63场未能上半场进球,而改回后三只增加了上半场得分较低的机会-如切尔西当时为0 休息时-0

Wolves" quality through Pedro Neto and Daniel Podence should start to shine through as the game progresses

随着比赛的进行,狼队通过佩德罗·内图和丹尼尔·庞登斯的素质将开始发光

The 4/1 for a Draw/Wolves in the half-time, full-time market is appealing against a Burnley side, who are the lowest scorers in English football with just six goals

半场,全日制比赛的平局/狼队的4/1对伯恩利方面具有吸引力,伯恩利是英格兰足球中得分最低的球员,仅有6个进球

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-1 (6/1 with Sky Bet) Chelsea vs West Ham, Monday 8pm, live on Some may have this down as another banana skin for Chelsea

琼斯知道预测:0-1(Sky Bet赔率为6/1)切尔西vs西汉姆,星期一晚上8点,现场直播有些人可能会因为切尔西的另一只香蕉皮而感到沮丧

Not me

不是我

Frank Lampard has so many attacking options available to him, it"s easy for him take an out-of-form player out of the limelight and replace him with a top-quality replacement

弗兰克·兰帕德(Frank Lampard)拥有众多进攻选择,这对他来说很容易使状态不佳的球员脱颖而出,并用高素质的替补球员代替他。

Timo Werner and Kai Havertz have looked a little jaded in recent weeks so freshening it up with Callum Hudson-Odoi or Hakim Zieych should kick Chelsea back into gear

蒂莫·沃纳(Timo Werner)和凯·哈维兹(Kai Havertz)在最近几周看上去有些疲惫,因此与卡勒姆·哈德森(Callum Hudson-Odoi)或哈基姆·齐耶赫(Hakim Zieych)共同为切尔西重新做准备

Plus, Christian Pulisic showed moments of real quality in the defeat at Wolves - he might be about to hit top form

另外,克里斯蒂安·普里西奇(Christian Pulisic)在狼队的惨败中表现出了真正的品质-他可能即将达到最佳状态

Lampard: No regrets over Rice This is going to sound ridiculous after what he did on Wednesday night, but West Ham won"t be going anywhere fast with Sebastien Haller leading the line

兰帕德(Lampard):对赖斯(Rice)并不后悔在周三晚上所做的事情之后,这听起来简直是荒谬的,但是西汉姆(West Ham)在塞巴斯蒂安·哈勒(Sebastien Haller)的带领下不会走得很快

In games where they have to sit back, his hold up play isn"t anywhere near the levels of Michail Antonio, who makes the pitch so big for West Ham and takes the pressure of his defenders

在必须坐下的比赛中,他的控球水平远不及米歇尔·安东尼奥的水平,后者为西汉姆联带来了巨大的收益,并承受了防守者的压力

In fairness, the Hammers have won four of the last six games with Haller leading the line so I might be talking complete nonsense

公平地说,在哈勒(Haller)领先的情况下,《锤子》赢得了最近六场比赛中的四场,所以我可能在胡说八道。

However, they lacked imagination against Crystal Palace and in the win over Aston Villa - a theory backed up by a combined xG figure of just 1.08 in those matches

然而,他们缺乏对水晶宫和阿斯顿维拉的胜利的想象力-在那场比赛中,xG的数字仅为1.08

No problems for Chelsea expected

切尔西没有问题

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-0 (7/1 with Sky Bet)

琼斯知道预测:2-0(使用Sky Bet时为7/1)

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